Current:Home > MyNew Hampshire voter exit polls show how Trump won the state's 2024 Republican primary -Elevate Capital Network
New Hampshire voter exit polls show how Trump won the state's 2024 Republican primary
FinLogic FinLogic Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-07 14:36:01
Note: Exit poll percentages may have updated since this post was published.
Nikki Haley had a better showing in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary election, given its greater numbers of moderate and independent voters, but it wasn't enough to overcome Donald Trump. As he did in Iowa, Trump received strong support among the Republican base, and won with most key demographic groups.
- CBS News' GOP New Hampshire primary exit polling
And while more voters in New Hampshire than Iowa were concerned about Trump's legal woes, more than half still said that if he were convicted of a crime he would still be fit for the presidency.
New Hampshire voters were looking for a fighter
Trump was boosted by the types of candidate qualities New Hampshire GOP voters were looking for — a fighter and someone who shares their values. Trump led Haley among voters who picked these qualities.
Haley overwhelmingly won among those who wanted someone with the right temperament, but fewer voters picked that as their top quality.
The last few days seem to have shifted the momentum toward Haley. Among the one in five voters who made their decision in the last few days, most backed Haley.
It wasn't enough, though. The overwhelming majority of the electorate made up their minds before that, and they went for Trump.
Independents backed Haley, but Trump won Republicans
Independent (or undeclared) voters can vote in New Hampshire's Republican primary, and they came out in large numbers. More than four in 10 of the electorate were self-identified independents, compared to just 16% in Iowa. And about six in 10 independents backed Haley.
But this was still a Republican primary, and Haley was not that competitive with Trump among self-identified Republicans, winning only about a quarter of their support.
Fewer primary voters in New Hampshire considered themselves part of the MAGA movement compared to Iowa, but nearly all who did voted for Trump.
And this electorate was still mostly conservative — and that favored Trump, too.
Like he did in Iowa, Trump was strong across many demographic groups — both younger and older voters voted for him. He won the majority of men, and edged out Haley among women.
Haley led Trump among New Hampshire voters with college degrees, but Trump's lead among those without college degrees was larger, and there were slightly more of those voters.
Economy and immigration top issues for New Hampshire voters
The economy and immigration were the top issues on voters' minds and Trump won the support of voters who picked them as most important.
More than half of New Hampshire GOP primary voters said most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be deported, something that Trump has threatened to do.
Haley won voters who prioritized foreign policy and abortion, but fewer voters selected them as top issues.
Trump's voters described their vote as strongly for him: eight in 10 of his voters said that.
But more of Haley's support was against Trump than for Haley. Only one in three of Haley's voters said they strongly favored her.
Looking ahead, big majorities of each candidates' supporters would be dissatisfied if the other became the nominee.
About eight in 10 Trump voters would be dissatisfied if Haley wins the nomination, and even more Haley voters would be dissatisfied if Trump becomes the nominee.
- In:
- Exit Polls
- Donald Trump
- Nikki Haley
veryGood! (15169)
Related
- Michigan lawmaker who was arrested in June loses reelection bid in Republican primary
- Ohio St., UGA, Michigan, FSU are CFP top 4. NCAA investigation of Wolverines not considered in rank
- Elon Musk's estimated net worth dips below $200 billion again after low Tesla earnings
- Senate Judiciary Committee to vote to authorize subpoenas to Harlan Crow, Leonard Leo as part of Supreme Court ethics probe
- The White House is cracking down on overdraft fees
- Opponents of military rule in Myanmar applaud new sanctions targeting gas revenues
- Remains of a person missing since devastating floods in 2021 have been found in Germany
- Russian-American journalist denied release into house arrest
- Jury finds man guilty of sending 17-year-old son to rob and kill rapper PnB Rock
- The murder trial for the woman charged in the shooting death of pro cyclist Mo Wilson is starting
Ranking
- EU countries double down on a halt to Syrian asylum claims but will not yet send people back
- Renowned glass artist and the making of a football field-sized church window featured in new film
- How the U.S. gun violence death rate compares with the rest of the world
- Wisconsin’s Democratic governor sues Republican Legislature over blocking ‘basic functions’
- New Orleans mayor’s former bodyguard making first court appearance after July indictment
- 'They touched my face': Goldie Hawn recalls encounter with aliens while on Apple podcast
- California State University faculty vote to authorize strike over pay and class sizes
- UK summit aims to tackle thorny issues around cutting-edge AI risks
Recommendation
51-year-old Andy Macdonald puts on Tony Hawk-approved Olympic skateboard showing
Robert De Niro lashes out in court at ex-personal assistant who sued him: 'Shame on you!'
UN chief visits tallest mountains in Nepal and expresses alarm over their melting glaciers
In 'White Holes,' Carlo Rovelli takes readers beyond the black hole horizon
Buckingham Palace staff under investigation for 'bar brawl'
Mississippi’s congressional delegation seeks Presidential Medal of Freedom for Medgar Evers
West Virginia University vice president stepping down after academic and faculty reductions
Missouri appeals court rules against ballot summary language that described ‘dangerous’ abortions